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El mundo se ha llenado de fragilidad. De repente, pero no sorprendentemente.
Un Vladimir Putin absolutamente desafiante se ha instalado, con arrogancia, en el centro mismo de la escena internacional, dispuesto -desde noviembre pasado- a negar cualquier norma o principio que impida la ampliación de las fronteras de su país, como el entienda necesario.
Ya lo había hecho, es cierto, al anexar, previamente y sin mayores consecuencias adversas, Sebastopol y Crimea a su inmenso país. Esto es lo que pasó en 2014, está claro. Y Rusia no pagó entonces el alto precio que, dada la gravedad de su ya desafiante comportamiento, le correspondía.
Ahora Putin está volviendo al camino muy peligroso que ya había recorrido y está tomando, paso a paso, Ucrania. Ante el estupor -y la inacción- de Occidente, que aparentemente no logra lanzar una respuesta que naturalmente debe ser clara y muy dura. Capaz de frenar las abiertas ambiciones imperiales de Vladimir Putin y sus seguidores incondicionales.
Putin, en camino a producir nuevos hechos consumados, hábilmente jugó la carta de la «desinformación». Inmencionablemente le dijo al mundo entero que estaba retirando tropas y, de hecho, reforzándolas. Rostro descubierto. Sin siquiera parpadear, como un tramposo consumado. Sus tropas no regresaron a sus bases.
Los esfuerzos realizados en el capítulo de la diplomacia quedaron en nada. Putin desarrolla, impertérrito, lo que con razón se ha llamado una «agresión ligada a una crisis que él mismo fabricó»; precisamente para intentar ampliar las fronteras de su país, ilegalmente, por cierto.
Putin parece pensar, tras la increíble manera de la retirada de EE.UU. de Afganistán, que EE.UU. está cansado de las crisis externas que, como potencia hegemónica, debe liderar y afrontar. Y hay algo de eso.
Pero no hay, por otro lado, voluntad de pretender no seguir siendo una de las naciones que lideran el mundo hoy. Todo lo contrario, más bien. Por eso la conducta rusa es una provocación sumamente peligrosa.
Lo cierto es que, por desgracia, Europa se enfrenta de nuevo a una posible guerra, con costes inimaginables, tanto humanos como económicos.
Es hora de tratar a Rusia como un auténtico y peligroso “paria”. Su comportamiento desafiante y belicista así lo requiere. Sin retrasos.
Es posible que Putin, de alguna manera, realmente haya «cruzado la línea». Y debe pagar un alto precio por su comportamiento muy peligroso, que el mundo no puede consentir.
Emilio Cardenas, Ex Embajador de la República Argentina ante las Naciones Unidas.
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